Motorsport Data & AI · 24 Hours of Le Mans 2015 · Season 2015

24 Hours of Le Mans 2015 — AI Data Analysis

Porsche wins the 24 Hours of Le Mans 2015 with the #19 Porsche 919 Hybrid. Pace order, reliability by class, lead changes and the closing phase in a data check.

#19Winner · Porsche
395Laps led
55Cars total
24 hanalyzed

Winning crew · #19 Porsche TeamNico Hülkenberg · Earl Bamber · Nick Tandy

Porsche won the 24 Hours of Le Mans 2015 at Circuit de la Sarthe. The #19 Porsche 919 Hybrid of Porsche Team covered 395 laps over 24 hours, a race distance of 5,382 km. The winning crew: Nico Hülkenberg, Earl Bamber and Nick Tandy. The margin to second place was 1 lap — a clear, controlled win. The quickest manufacturer over one lap was Audi — but the win went to Porsche. Pace and result do not always match.

How the Lead Was Won

Across the race we counted 4 lead changes among 4 different cars in the LMP1 class. At the closest point, first and second were only 0.9 s apart. For 10 of 12 measured hours the gap stayed under 30 seconds.

That is a real head-to-head fight, not a comfortable lead.

Gap between first and second in the LMP1 class, hour by hour. Peaks mark pit stops, safety cars and incidents.
Figure 1 — Gap between first and second in the LMP1 class, hour by hour. Peaks mark pit stops, safety cars and incidents.

Figure 1 shows how that gap moved over the distance.

Manufacturer Pace

We rank pace by the average of each manufacturer’s fastest lap. That measures real speed over the distance instead of one lucky lap. The order at the top: Audi (248.2 km/h), Porsche (247.1 km/h), Toyota (243.2 km/h).

Between the fastest and the slowest manufacturer in the LMP1 class lie 21.9 km/h. That is a wide spread. At this track, the concept differences show clearly.

Average fastest lap speed per manufacturer in the LMP1 class. Higher is faster.
Figure 2 — Average fastest lap speed per manufacturer in the LMP1 class. Higher is faster.

Figure 2 sets the pace order side by side.

Reliability by Class

18 of 55 cars did not make the finish — an overall retirement rate of 33%. The heaviest toll fell on LMGTE Am with 43%, while LMGTE Pro came through best at 25%.

Over this distance, reliability is a result in itself. A car that stops scores nothing, no matter how fast it was.

Retirement rate per class, with the number of entries behind each bar.
Figure 3 — Retirement rate per class, with the number of entries behind each bar.

Figure 3 compares the classes directly.

Efficiency Over the Distance

Our efficiency score multiplies average lap speed by laps completed and compares that to the class average. It rewards cars that were fast and stayed out of trouble. A value of 1.000 is exactly class average.

The top score goes to #19 Porsche with 1.218. That is the winning car — speed and durability came from the same package.

Efficiency score per car: average lap speed times laps, normalized to the class average.
Figure 4 — Efficiency score per car: average lap speed times laps, normalized to the class average.

Figure 4 ranks the cars by that score.

Night Versus Day

Top-class cars averaged 238.2 km/h in daylight and 238.6 km/h at night. The difference is 0.36 km/h — faster after dark.

In other words: no measurable night effect. Darkness costs concentration and makes traffic harder to read, but it does not slow modern prototypes down.

Average top-class pace in daylight hours versus night hours.
Figure 5 — Average top-class pace in daylight hours versus night hours.

Figure 5 puts both phases next to each other.

The Closing Phase

In the final hour, 82% of the field held position within ±1 place (n = 55). Most of the order was set, but a few fights ran to the end. The biggest single move came from #98 Aston Martin, 19 places back.

Share of cars that changed position by no more than one place in the final hour.
Figure 6 — Share of cars that changed position by no more than one place in the final hour.

Figure 6 shows how settled the finish really was.

Fastest Lap and Class Gaps

The fastest single lap of the race belongs to #7 Audi (Audi Sport Team Joest): 3:17.475 at 248.5 km/h. Crew: Marcel Fässler, André Lotterer and Benoît Tréluyer.

Between LMP1 and LMP2 sits a pace gap of 15.5 s per lap. That number decides how much traffic the leaders have to work through.

Class winners — LMP1: #19 Porsche (Porsche Team), LMP2: #47 Oreca (KCMG), LMGTE Pro: #64 Chevrolet (Corvette Racing - GM), LMGTE Am: #72 Ferrari (SMP Racing).

Putting the Race in Context

The winner averaged 224.2 km/h across 5,382 km. On a 13.626 km lap, that is the pace the whole strategy had to sustain.

We calculate the same metrics for every race in the archive: pace order, reliability by class, lead changes, winning margin, closing stability and efficiency. That makes this race directly comparable with every other round of the 2015 season — and with the seasons before it.

All figures are derived from the full classification of every race hour and are recalculated with each build.

Overall result LMP1

Full final classification of the top class after 24 hours — car, driver crew, laps, gap, fastest race lap and average pace.

Overall result
PosNoManufacturer / CarTeam & DriversLapsGapFastest lapØ FL km/h
1#19PorschePorschePorsche 919 HybridPorsche TeamNico Hülkenberg · Earl Bamber · Nick Tandy3953:18.596247.1
2#17PorschePorschePorsche 919 HybridPorsche TeamTimo Bernhard · Mark Webber · Brendon Hartley394+1 Laps3:18.186247.6
3#7AudiAudiAudi R18 e-tron quattroAudi Sport Team JoestMarcel Fässler · André Lotterer · Benoît Tréluyer393+2 Laps3:17.475248.5
4#8AudiAudiAudi R18 e-tron quattroAudi Sport Team JoestLucas di Grassi · Loïc Duval · Oliver Jarvis392+3 Laps3:17.831248
5#18PorschePorschePorsche 919 HybridPorsche TeamRomain Dumas · Neel Jani · Marc Lieb391+4 Laps3:18.917246.7
6#2ToyotaToyotaToyota TS040 HybridToyota Gazoo RacingAlexander Wurz · Stéphane Sarrazin · Mike Conway387+8 Laps3:22.633242.1
7#9AudiAudiAudi R18 e-tron quattroAudi Sport Team JoestFilipe Albuquerque · Marco Bonanomi · René Rast387+8 Laps3:17.647248.2
8#1ToyotaToyotaToyota TS040 HybridToyota Gazoo RacingAnthony Davidson · Sébastien Buemi · Kazuki Nakajima386+9 Laps3:20.896244.2
18#13RebellionRebellion R-OneRebellion RacingAlexandre Imperatori · Dominik Kraihamer · Daniel Abt336+59 Laps3:26.594237.5
23#12RebellionRebellion R-OneRebellion RacingNicolas Prost · Nick Heidfeld · Mathias Beche330+65 Laps3:27.184236.8
39#22NissanNissanNissan GT-R LM NismoNissan MotorsportsHarry Tincknell · Michael Krumm · Alex Buncombe242+153 Laps Not classified3:35.888227.3
44#23NissanNissanNissan GT-R LM NismoNissan MotorsportsOlivier Pla · Jann Mardenborough · Max Chilton234+161 Laps Retired3:36.525226.6
48#21NissanNissanNissan GT-R LM NismoNissan MotorsportsTsugio Matsuda · Mark Shulzhitskiy · Lucas Ordoñez115+280 Laps Retired3:37.863225.2
55#4ByKollesENSO CLM P1/01Team BykollesSimon Trummer · Pierre Kaffer · Tiago Monteiro260+135 Laps Excluded3:33.560229.7

Season context: the full 2015 WEC season in data · all-time WEC records

See also: Le Mans — roll of honor of all overall winners

Class winners in detail

The winners of each class with overall position, car, crew and fastest lap.

Class winners in detail
ClassOverallNoManufacturer / CarTeam & DriversLapsFastest lap
LMP1P1#19PorschePorschePorsche 919 HybridPorsche TeamNico Hülkenberg · Earl Bamber · Nick Tandy3953:18.596
LMP2P9#47OrecaOreca 05KCMGMatthew Howson · Richard Bradley · Nicolas Lapierre3583:36.836
LMGTE ProP17#64ChevroletChevroletChevrolet Corvette C7.RCorvette Racing - GMOliver Gavin · Tommy Milner · Jordan Taylor3373:54.823
LMGTE AmP20#72FerrariFerrariFerrari 458 Italia GTESMP RacingVictor Shaytar · Andrea Bertolini · Aleksey Basov3323:56.165

Manufacturer pace

Average of the fastest lap speed per manufacturer. It measures real pace over the distance, not a single outlier.

Audi
248.23
Porsche
247.13
Toyota
243.15
Rebellion
237.15
Nissan
226.37

Reliability by class

Retirement rate per class — the toughest filter of a long-distance race.

LMGTE Am
42.9% · n14
LMGTE Pro
25% · n8
LMP1
28.6% · n14
LMP2
31.6% · n19

Lap efficiency score

(avg FL km/h × laps) normalized to the class mean. It combines pace, distance and durability in one number — 1.000 = class mean.

#19 Porsche
1.218
#7 Audi
1.218
#17 Porsche
1.217
#8 Audi
1.213
#18 Porsche
1.203
#9 Audi
1.198
#1 Toyota
1.176
#2 Toyota
1.169

Day vs. Night

Average top-class pace by day versus night (hours 10–15).

238.25Day
238.61Night
Δ -0.36 km/h. No relevant night degradation — modern hybrid prototypes hold their pace level in the dark.

Position stability, final hour

Share of cars that held their position within ±1 in the final hour (n=55).

82%

Mostly stable, but some late position battles.

Race dynamics compared

The same metrics for every race — so Le Mans is directly comparable with Daytona, and year with year.

4Lead changes (4 leaders)
1 lapsWinning margin over P2
15.5 sPace delta LMP1 → LMP2
LMP1top class analyzed
0.9 sClosest lead gap
10/12Hours inside 30 s
5,382 kmWinning distance
224.2Average speed km/h
2066Position changes total
165Drivers in the field

Fastest race lap

The quickest single lap of the whole race — peak pace, not race pace.

3:17.475 · 248.5 km/h — #7 Audi, Audi Sport Team Joest (LMP1)
Marcel Fässler · André Lotterer · Benoît Tréluyer

Steadiest cars

Laps per hour and their spread. A low spread means few stops, few incidents, a clean rhythm.

NoManufacturerLaps/hSpread
#17Porsche16.39±1.55
#18Porsche16.26±1.57
#1Toyota16.04±1.57
#19Porsche16.43±1.58
#2Toyota16.09±1.59
#7Audi16.35±1.66

WEC record at this circuit

The World Endurance Championship has raced here 15 times in the seasons we analyze, and Toyota has won most often (6). Every entry links to the full data analysis of that race.

Fastest lap on record
3:17.297 · 248.6 km/h
#7 Toyota, Toyota Gazoo Racing (2019)
Highest race average
224.2 km/h
Porsche (2015)
Seasons
2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018-2019, 2019-2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026
WEC races at this circuit
YearRaceWinnerDistanceCars
202624 Hours of Le Mans#7 Toyota
Toyota Gazoo Racing
5,192 km62
202524 Hours of Le Mans#83 Ferrari
Ferrari AF Corse
5,273 km62
202424 Hours of Le Mans#50 Ferrari
Ferrari AF Corse
4,238 km62
202324 Hours of Le Mans#51 Ferrari
Ferrari AF Corse
4,660 km62
202224 Hours of Le Mans#8 Toyota
Toyota Gazoo Racing
5,178 km62
202124 Hours of Le Mans#7 Toyota
Toyota Gazoo Racing
5,055 km61
202024 Hours of Le Mans#8 Toyota
Toyota Gazoo Racing
5,273 km59
201924 Hours of Le Mans#8 Toyota
Toyota Gazoo Racing
5,246 km61
201824 Hours of Le Mans#8 Toyota
Toyota Gazoo Racing
5,287 km60
201724 Hours of Le Mans#2 Porsche
Porsche LMP Team
5,001 km60
201624 Hours of Le Mans#2 Porsche
Porsche Team
5,232 km60
201524 Hours of Le Mans#19 Porsche
Porsche Team
5,382 km55
201424 Hours of Le Mans#2 Audi
Audi Sport Team Joest
5,164 km54
201324 Hours of Le Mans#2 Audi
Audi Sport Team Joest
4,742 km56
201224 Hours of Le Mans#1 Audi
Audi Sport Team Joest
5,151 km56

All-time WEC records · every WEC season in data