Motorsport Data & AI · 6 Hours of Shanghai 2015 · Season 2015

6 Hours of Shanghai 2015 — AI Data Analysis

Porsche wins the 6 Hours of Shanghai 2015 with the #17 Porsche 919 Hybrid. Pace order, reliability by class, lead changes and the closing phase in a data check.

#17Winner · Porsche
169Laps led
31Cars total
6 hanalyzed

Winning crew · #17 Porsche TeamTimo Bernhard · Mark Webber · Brendon Hartley

Porsche won the 6 Hours of Shanghai 2015 at Shanghai International Circuit. The #17 Porsche 919 Hybrid of Porsche Team covered 169 laps over 6 hours, a race distance of 921 km. The winning crew: Timo Bernhard, Mark Webber and Brendon Hartley. The margin to second place was 26.3 s, close enough to keep the result open late. The quickest manufacturer over one lap was Audi — but the win went to Porsche. Pace and result do not always match.

How the Lead Was Won

Across the race we counted 2 lead changes among 2 different cars in the LMP1 class. At the closest point, first and second were only 4.5 s apart. For 5 of 6 measured hours the gap stayed under 30 seconds.

That is a real head-to-head fight, not a comfortable lead.

Gap between first and second in the LMP1 class, hour by hour. Peaks mark pit stops, safety cars and incidents.
Figure 1 — Gap between first and second in the LMP1 class, hour by hour. Peaks mark pit stops, safety cars and incidents.

Figure 1 shows how that gap moved over the distance.

Manufacturer Pace

We rank pace by the average of each manufacturer’s fastest lap. That measures real speed over the distance instead of one lucky lap. The order at the top: Audi (183.4 km/h), Porsche (182.4 km/h), Toyota (180.0 km/h).

Between the fastest and the slowest manufacturer in the LMP1 class lie 15.5 km/h. That is a wide spread. At this track, the concept differences show clearly.

Average fastest lap speed per manufacturer in the LMP1 class. Higher is faster.
Figure 2 — Average fastest lap speed per manufacturer in the LMP1 class. Higher is faster.

Figure 2 sets the pace order side by side.

Reliability by Class

3 of 31 cars did not make the finish — an overall retirement rate of 10%. The heaviest toll fell on LMP2 with 22%, while LMGTE Am came through best at 0%.

Over this distance, reliability is a result in itself. A car that stops scores nothing, no matter how fast it was.

Retirement rate per class, with the number of entries behind each bar.
Figure 3 — Retirement rate per class, with the number of entries behind each bar.

Figure 3 compares the classes directly.

Efficiency Over the Distance

Our efficiency score multiplies average lap speed by laps completed and compares that to the class average. It rewards cars that were fast and stayed out of trouble. A value of 1.000 is exactly class average.

The top score goes to #7 Audi with 1.066. The winner, #17, is not on top here. Track position and strategy turned into a result that raw efficiency alone does not explain.

Efficiency score per car: average lap speed times laps, normalized to the class average.
Figure 4 — Efficiency score per car: average lap speed times laps, normalized to the class average.

Figure 4 ranks the cars by that score.

The Closing Phase

In the final hour, 45% of the field held position within ±1 place (n = 31). The closing hour stayed busy, with position changes across the field. The biggest single move came from #13 Rebellion, 20 places back.

Share of cars that changed position by no more than one place in the final hour.
Figure 5 — Share of cars that changed position by no more than one place in the final hour.

Figure 5 shows how settled the finish really was.

Fastest Lap and Class Gaps

The fastest single lap of the race belongs to #7 Audi (Audi Sport Team Joest): 1:46.685 at 183.9 km/h. Crew: Marcel Fässler, André Lotterer and Benoît Tréluyer.

Between LMP1 and LMP2 sits a pace gap of 10.3 s per lap. That number decides how much traffic the leaders have to work through.

Class winners — LMP1: #17 Porsche (Porsche Team), LMP2: #36 Alpine (Signatech Alpine), LMGTE Pro: #91 Porsche (Porsche Team Manthey), LMGTE Am: #83 Ferrari (Ferrari AF Corse).

Putting the Race in Context

The winner averaged 153.5 km/h across 921 km. On a 5.451 km lap, that is the pace the whole strategy had to sustain.

We calculate the same metrics for every race in the archive: pace order, reliability by class, lead changes, winning margin, closing stability and efficiency. That makes this race directly comparable with every other round of the 2015 season — and with the seasons before it.

All figures are derived from the full classification of every race hour and are recalculated with each build.

Overall result LMP1

Full final classification of the top class after 6 hours — car, driver crew, laps, gap, fastest race lap and average pace.

Overall result
PosNoManufacturer / CarTeam & DriversLapsGapFastest lapØ FL km/h
1#17PorschePorschePorsche 919 HybridPorsche TeamTimo Bernhard · Mark Webber · Brendon Hartley1691:47.369182.8
2#18PorschePorschePorsche 919 HybridPorsche TeamRomain Dumas · Neel Jani · Marc Lieb169+26.2941:47.744182.1
3#7AudiAudiAudi R18 e-tron quattroAudi Sport Team JoestMarcel Fässler · André Lotterer · Benoît Tréluyer169+30.3111:46.685183.9
4#8AudiAudiAudi R18 e-tron quattroAudi Sport Team JoestLucas di Grassi · Loïc Duval · Oliver Jarvis169+50.9061:47.289182.9
5#2ToyotaToyotaToyota TS040 HybridToyota Gazoo RacingAlexander Wurz · Stéphane Sarrazin · Mike Conway165+4 Laps1:49.374179.4
6#1ToyotaToyotaToyota TS040 HybridToyota Gazoo RacingAnthony Davidson · Sébastien Buemi · Kazuki Nakajima164+5 Laps1:48.685180.6
7#12RebellionRebellion R-OneRebellion RacingNicolas Prost · Mathias Beche158+11 Laps1:54.764171
8#4ByKollesENSO CLM P1/01Team BykollesSimon Trummer · Pierre Kaffer156+13 Laps1:56.892167.9
29#13RebellionRebellion R-OneRebellion RacingAlexandre Imperatori · Dominik Kraihamer · Mathéo Tuscher153+16 Laps Not classified1:54.213171.8

Season context: the full 2015 WEC season in data · all-time WEC records

Class winners in detail

The winners of each class with overall position, car, crew and fastest lap.

Class winners in detail
ClassOverallNoManufacturer / CarTeam & DriversLapsFastest lap
LMP1P1#17PorschePorschePorsche 919 HybridPorsche TeamTimo Bernhard · Mark Webber · Brendon Hartley1691:47.369
LMP2P9#36AlpineAlpineAlpine A450bSignatech AlpineNelson Panciatici · Paul Loup Chatin · Tom Dillmann1541:57.998
LMGTE ProP14#91PorschePorschePorsche 911 RSR (991)Porsche Team MantheyRichard Lietz · Michael Christensen1512:05.392
LMGTE AmP21#83FerrariFerrariFerrari 458 Italia GTEFerrari AF CorseFrançois Perrodo · Emmanuel Collard · Rui Aguas1462:07.707

Manufacturer pace

Average of the fastest lap speed per manufacturer. It measures real pace over the distance, not a single outlier.

Audi
183.4
Porsche
182.45
Toyota
180
Rebellion
171.4

Reliability by class

Retirement rate per class — the toughest filter of a long-distance race.

LMGTE Am
0% · n7
LMGTE Pro
0% · n6
LMP1
11.1% · n9
LMP2
22.2% · n9

Lap efficiency score

(avg FL km/h × laps) normalized to the class mean. It combines pace, distance and durability in one number — 1.000 = class mean.

#7 Audi
1.066
#17 Porsche
1.060
#8 Audi
1.060
#18 Porsche
1.056
#1 Toyota
1.016
#2 Toyota
1.015
#12 Rebellion
0.927
#13 Rebellion
0.902

Position stability, final hour

Share of cars that held their position within ±1 in the final hour (n=31).

45%

A lively closing phase with numerous late position changes.

Race dynamics compared

The same metrics for every race — so Le Mans is directly comparable with Daytona, and year with year.

2Lead changes (2 leaders)
26.294Winning margin over P2
10.3 sPace delta LMP1 → LMP2
LMP1top class analyzed
4.5 sClosest lead gap
5/6Hours inside 30 s
921 kmWinning distance
153.5Average speed km/h
332Position changes total
86Drivers in the field

Fastest race lap

The quickest single lap of the whole race — peak pace, not race pace.

1:46.685 · 183.9 km/h — #7 Audi, Audi Sport Team Joest (LMP1)
Marcel Fässler · André Lotterer · Benoît Tréluyer

Steadiest cars

Laps per hour and their spread. A low spread means few stops, few incidents, a clean rhythm.

NoManufacturerLaps/hSpread
#12Rebellion26.4±1.96
#2Toyota27.6±2.24
#4ByKolles26±2.37
#17Porsche28.4±2.42
#7Audi28.4±2.42
#8Audi28.4±2.42

WEC record at this circuit

The World Endurance Championship has raced here 8 times in the seasons we analyze, and Toyota has won most often (5). Every entry links to the full data analysis of that race.

Fastest lap on record
1:24.645 · 194.1 km/h
#8 Audi, Audi Sport Team Joest (2016)
Highest race average
221.3 km/h
Toyota (2016)
Seasons
2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018-2019, 2019-2020
WEC races at this circuit
YearRaceWinnerDistanceCars
20194 Hours of Shanghai#1 Rebellion
Rebellion Racing
681 km31
20186 Hours of Shanghai#7 Toyota
Toyota Gazoo Racing
616 km35
20176 Hours of Shanghai#8 Toyota
Toyota Gazoo Racing
1,063 km26
20166 Hours of Shanghai#6 Toyota
Toyota Gazoo Racing
1,330 km32
20156 Hours of Shanghai#17 Porsche
Porsche Team
921 km31
20146 Hours of Shanghai#8 Toyota
Toyota Gazoo Racing
1,025 km27
20136 Hours of Shanghai#1 Audi
Audi Sport Team Joest
1,036 km28
20126 Hours of Shanghai#7 Toyota
Toyota Gazoo Racing
1,041 km28

All-time WEC records · every WEC season in data