Motorsport Data & AI · 4 Hours of Silverstone 2019 · Season 2019-2020

4 Hours of Silverstone 2019 — AI Data Analysis

Toyota wins the 4 Hours of Silverstone 2019 with the #7 Toyota TS050 Hybrid. Pace order, reliability by class, lead changes and the closing phase in a data check.

#7Winner · Toyota
129Laps led
31Cars total
4 hanalyzed

Winning crew · #7 Toyota Gazoo RacingMike Conway · Kamui Kobayashi · Jose Maria Lopez

Toyota won the 4 Hours of Silverstone 2019 at Silverstone Circuit. The #7 Toyota TS050 Hybrid of Toyota Gazoo Racing covered 129 laps over 4 hours, a race distance of 760 km. The winning crew: Mike Conway, Kamui Kobayashi and Jose Maria Lopez. The margin to second place was just 1.901 s — a sprint finish after a full endurance race. The fastest manufacturer also produced the winner.

How the Lead Was Won

Across the race we counted 1 lead change among 2 different cars in the LMP1 class. At the closest point, first and second were only 1.9 s apart. For 4 of 4 measured hours the gap stayed under 30 seconds.

That is a real head-to-head fight, not a comfortable lead.

Gap between first and second in the LMP1 class, hour by hour. Peaks mark pit stops, safety cars and incidents.
Figure 1 — Gap between first and second in the LMP1 class, hour by hour. Peaks mark pit stops, safety cars and incidents.

Figure 1 shows how that gap moved over the distance.

Manufacturer Pace

We rank pace by the average of each manufacturer’s fastest lap. That measures real speed over the distance instead of one lucky lap. The order at the top: Toyota (218.3 km/h), Rebellion (215.8 km/h), Ginetta (214.1 km/h).

Between the fastest and the slowest manufacturer in the LMP1 class lie 4.2 km/h. That is a wide spread. At this track, the concept differences show clearly.

Average fastest lap speed per manufacturer in the LMP1 class. Higher is faster.
Figure 2 — Average fastest lap speed per manufacturer in the LMP1 class. Higher is faster.

Figure 2 sets the pace order side by side.

Reliability by Class

2 of 31 cars did not make the finish — an overall retirement rate of 6%. The heaviest toll fell on LMGTE Pro with 17%, while LMGTE Am came through best at 0%.

Over this distance, reliability is a result in itself. A car that stops scores nothing, no matter how fast it was.

Retirement rate per class, with the number of entries behind each bar.
Figure 3 — Retirement rate per class, with the number of entries behind each bar.

Figure 3 compares the classes directly.

Efficiency Over the Distance

Our efficiency score multiplies average lap speed by laps completed and compares that to the class average. It rewards cars that were fast and stayed out of trouble. A value of 1.000 is exactly class average.

The top score goes to #7 Toyota with 1.050. That is the winning car — speed and durability came from the same package.

Efficiency score per car: average lap speed times laps, normalized to the class average.
Figure 4 — Efficiency score per car: average lap speed times laps, normalized to the class average.

Figure 4 ranks the cars by that score.

The Closing Phase

In the final hour, 68% of the field held position within ±1 place (n = 31). The closing hour stayed busy, with position changes across the field. The biggest single move came from #5 Ginetta, 7 places forward.

Share of cars that changed position by no more than one place in the final hour.
Figure 5 — Share of cars that changed position by no more than one place in the final hour.

Figure 5 shows how settled the finish really was.

Fastest Lap and Class Gaps

The fastest single lap of the race belongs to #7 Toyota (Toyota Gazoo Racing): 1:37.289 at 218.4 km/h. Crew: Mike Conway, Kamui Kobayashi and Jose Maria Lopez.

Between LMP1 and LMP2 sits a pace gap of 8.2 s per lap. That number decides how much traffic the leaders have to work through.

Class winners — LMP1: #7 Toyota (Toyota Gazoo Racing), LMP2: #42 Oreca (Cool Racing), LMGTE Pro: #91 Porsche (Porsche GT Team), LMGTE Am: #83 Ferrari (Ferrari AF Corse).

Putting the Race in Context

The winner averaged 189.2 km/h across 760 km. On a 5.891 km lap, that is the pace the whole strategy had to sustain.

We calculate the same metrics for every race in the archive: pace order, reliability by class, lead changes, winning margin, closing stability and efficiency. That makes this race directly comparable with every other round of the 2019-2020 season — and with the seasons before it.

All figures are derived from the full classification of every race hour and are recalculated with each build.

Overall result LMP1

Full final classification of the top class after 4 hours — car, driver crew, laps, gap, fastest race lap and average pace.

Overall result
PosNoManufacturer / CarTeam & DriversLapsGapFastest lapØ FL km/h
1#7ToyotaToyotaToyota TS050 HybridToyota Gazoo RacingMike Conway · Kamui Kobayashi · Jose Maria Lopez1291:37.289218.4
2#8ToyotaToyotaToyota TS050 HybridToyota Gazoo RacingSébastien Buemi · Kazuki Nakajima · Brendon Hartley129+1.9011:37.349218.2
3#3RebellionRebellion R13Rebellion RacingNathanaël Berthon · Pipo Derani · Loïc Duval128+1 Laps1:38.410215.9
4#5GinettaGinetta G60-LT-P1Team LNTCharlie Robertson · Ben Hanley · Egor Orudzhev124+5 Laps1:39.271214
10#1RebellionRebellion R13Rebellion RacingBruno Senna · Gustavo Menezes · Norman Nato123+6 Laps1:38.490215.7
28#6GinettaGinetta G60-LT-P1Team LNTMichael Simpson · Oliver Jarvis · Guy Smith112+17 Laps1:39.180214.2

Season context: the full 2019-2020 WEC season in data · all-time WEC records

Class winners in detail

The winners of each class with overall position, car, crew and fastest lap.

Class winners in detail
ClassOverallNoManufacturer / CarTeam & DriversLapsFastest lap
LMP1P1#7ToyotaToyotaToyota TS050 HybridToyota Gazoo RacingMike Conway · Kamui Kobayashi · Jose Maria Lopez1291:37.289
LMP2P5#42OrecaOreca 07Cool RacingNicolas Lapierre · Antonin Borga1241:43.953
LMGTE ProP13#91PorschePorschePorsche 911 RSR-19Porsche GT TeamGianmaria Bruni · Richard Lietz1151:56.198
LMGTE AmP18#83FerrariFerrariFerrari 488 GTE EvoFerrari AF CorseFrançois Perrodo · Emmanuel Collard · Nicklas Nielsen1141:56.952

Manufacturer pace

Average of the fastest lap speed per manufacturer. It measures real pace over the distance, not a single outlier.

Toyota
218.3
Rebellion
215.8
Ginetta
214.1

Reliability by class

Retirement rate per class — the toughest filter of a long-distance race.

LMGTE Am
0% · n11
LMGTE Pro
16.7% · n6
LMP1
0% · n6
LMP2
12.5% · n8

Lap efficiency score

(avg FL km/h × laps) normalized to the class mean. It combines pace, distance and durability in one number — 1.000 = class mean.

#7 Toyota
1.050
#8 Toyota
1.049
#3 Rebellion
1.030
#5 Ginetta
0.989
#1 Rebellion
0.989
#6 Ginetta
0.894

Position stability, final hour

Share of cars that held their position within ±1 in the final hour (n=31).

68%

A lively closing phase with numerous late position changes.

Race dynamics compared

The same metrics for every race — so Le Mans is directly comparable with Daytona, and year with year.

1Lead changes (2 leaders)
1.901Winning margin over P2
8.2 sPace delta LMP1 → LMP2
LMP1top class analyzed
1.9 sClosest lead gap
4/4Hours inside 30 s
760 kmWinning distance
189.2Average speed km/h
172Position changes total
85Drivers in the field

Fastest race lap

The quickest single lap of the whole race — peak pace, not race pace.

1:37.289 · 218.4 km/h — #7 Toyota, Toyota Gazoo Racing (LMP1)
Mike Conway · Kamui Kobayashi · Jose Maria Lopez

Steadiest cars

Laps per hour and their spread. A low spread means few stops, few incidents, a clean rhythm.

NoManufacturerLaps/hSpread
#1Rebellion30.33±1.7
#3Rebellion32±2.45
#8Toyota32.33±2.87
#7Toyota32.33±2.87
#5Ginetta31±3.27
#6Ginetta28.33±4.64

WEC record at this circuit

The World Endurance Championship has raced here 8 times in the seasons we analyze, and Audi has won most often (3). Every entry links to the full data analysis of that race.

Fastest lap on record
1:37.289 · 218.4 km/h
#7 Toyota, Toyota Gazoo Racing (2019)
Highest race average
197.1 km/h
Audi (2015)
Seasons
2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018-2019, 2019-2020
WEC races at this circuit
YearRaceWinnerDistanceCars
20194 Hours of Silverstone#7 Toyota
Toyota Gazoo Racing
760 km31
20186 Hours of Silverstone#3 Rebellion
Rebellion Racing
1,137 km34
20176 Hours of Silverstone#8 Toyota
Toyota Gazoo Racing
1,160 km27
20166 Hours of Silverstone#2 Porsche
Porsche Team
1,143 km33
20156 Hours of Silverstone#7 Audi
Audi Sport Team Joest
1,184 km29
20146 Hours of Silverstone#8 Toyota
Toyota Gazoo Racing
984 km27
20136 Hours of Silverstone#2 Audi
Audi Sport Team Joest
1,160 km31
20126 Hours of Silverstone#1 Audi
Audi Sport Team Joest
1,143 km35

All-time WEC records · every WEC season in data